Auston Matthews vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Dubois 48.9% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Dubois 53.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.9%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Matthews
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
44.8% (259)
+15.0%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
70.6% (34)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
75.0% (8)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dubois
Home
60.0% (520)
46.6% (163)
Away
59.3% (452)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Matthews
Dubois
P1
60.2%
44.0%
P2
58.2%
51.5%
P3
60.4%
49.5%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%