Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Suter 48.3% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 56.2%
Neutral zone
Suter 55.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Matthews
Suter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
49.7% (372)
+10.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
47.4% (19)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
39.8% (83)
+16.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Matthews
Suter
Home
60.0% (520)
47.1% (242)
Away
59.3% (452)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Matthews
Suter
P1
60.2%
48.2%
P2
58.2%
47.7%
P3
60.4%
48.8%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%