Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Colton 49.2% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Colton 57.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Matthews
Colton
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
47.3% (91)
+12.5%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
71.4% (7)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
0.0% (1)
+56.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Matthews
Colton
Home
60.0% (520)
46.9% (49)
Away
59.3% (452)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Matthews
Colton
P1
60.2%
56.4%
P2
58.2%
47.1%
P3
60.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%