Auston Matthews vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 65.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
46.0% (250)
+13.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
70.6% (17)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
31.8% (22)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
60.0% (520)
50.3% (175)
Away
59.3% (452)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Matthews
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.2%
48.5%
P2
58.2%
45.9%
P3
60.4%
46.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%