Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Blueger 48.1% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 66.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 70.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 64.1%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Matthews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Matthews
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
49.4% (265)
+10.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
66.7% (9)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
34.0% (50)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Matthews
Blueger
Home
60.0% (520)
49.8% (215)
Away
59.3% (452)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Matthews
Blueger
P1
60.2%
46.4%
P2
58.2%
50.4%
P3
60.4%
44.8%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:45 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |