Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Stützle 52.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Stützle leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 81.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 61.3%
Neutral zone
Stützle 61.7%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Matthews
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Matthews
Stützle
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
5
Matthews
Stützle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
52.7% (501)
+7.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
54.2% (59)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
56.3% (32)
+0.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Matthews
Stützle
Home
60.0% (520)
51.9% (285)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Matthews
Stützle
P1
60.2%
51.6%
P2
58.2%
55.4%
P3
60.4%
52.2%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |