Auston Matthews vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Trocheck 56.2% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 53.1%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.7%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Matthews
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
58.0% (666)
+1.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
64.8% (165)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
43.4% (152)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Matthews
Trocheck
Home
60.0% (520)
55.3% (436)
Away
59.3% (452)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Matthews
Trocheck
P1
60.2%
56.4%
P2
58.2%
58.7%
P3
60.4%
55.5%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%