Auston Matthews vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +22.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+22.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Matthews
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Matthews
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Matthews
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
36.2% (94)
+22.4%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
0.0% (1)
+65.7%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
41.2% (17)
+16.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +65.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Girgensons is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Matthews
Girgensons
Home
60.0% (475)
38.0% (50)
Away
57.2% (346)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Matthews
Girgensons
P1
58.3%
43.2%
P2
58.4%
34.3%
P3
59.4%
32.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |