Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Nelson 50.8% (-10.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 63.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Goodrow
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
50.9% (928)
-11.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.8% (179)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
43.4% (205)
+6.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Nelson
Home
36.0% (25)
52.9% (654)
Away
50.0% (12)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Goodrow
Nelson
P1
46.2%
48.4%
P2
28.6%
54.3%
P3
50.0%
50.5%
Final 5 min
20.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%