Barclay Goodrow vs Connor McMichael
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs McMichael 43.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 55.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 71.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 60.0%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Goodrow
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Goodrow
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
42.9% (408)
-3.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
49.1% (55)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
39.0% (105)
+11.0%
On power play, McMichael has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Goodrow
McMichael
Home
36.0% (25)
43.0% (298)
Away
50.0% (12)
42.6% (270)
By Period
Goodrow
McMichael
P1
46.2%
46.6%
P2
28.6%
40.8%
P3
50.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
20.0%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |