Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Mercer 41.9% (+1.3%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.9%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Goodrow
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
38.8% (263)
+0.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
35.3% (17)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
54.5% (11)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Goodrow is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Goodrow shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Mercer
Home
36.0% (25)
35.2% (145)
Away
50.0% (12)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Goodrow
Mercer
P1
46.2%
32.7%
P2
28.6%
42.7%
P3
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
20.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%