Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Larkin 52.2% (-11.9%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Goodrow
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
51.1% (915)
-11.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
59.4% (261)
-26.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.2% (168)
+1.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Larkin
Home
36.0% (25)
51.7% (686)
Away
50.0% (12)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Goodrow
Larkin
P1
46.2%
52.5%
P2
28.6%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
20.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%