Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Evans 52.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Goodrow 71.2%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 56.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 62.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Goodrow
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Goodrow
Evans
Last 10: Goodrow 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Goodrow
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
6
Goodrow
Evans
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
53.7% (3,740)
-1.4%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
60.6% (71)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (941)
47.1% (1,228)
-2.8%
On power play, Evans has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Goodrow is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,557).
Goodrow shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Evans
Home
51.9% (2,109)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
48.7% (2,103)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Goodrow
Evans
P1
50.5%
54.0%
P2
49.2%
50.9%
P3
51.3%
52.0%
OT
35.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
50.3%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |