Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 53.5% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 73.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 72.1%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 51.5%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Goodrow
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Goodrow
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
0
Goodrow
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (544)
51.5% (594)
+4.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
51.7% (87)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
28.6% (14)
+16.0%
On power play, Pavelski has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Goodrow is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Goodrow shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Pavelski
Home
57.2% (332)
53.1% (339)
Away
50.3% (292)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Goodrow
Pavelski
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
59.5%
47.8%
P3
51.8%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
54.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |