Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Goodrow on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Norris 52.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 77.7%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 56.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 59.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Goodrow
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Goodrow
Norris
Last 8: Goodrow 5-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goodrow
3
2
Goodrow
Norris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
52.5% (3,089)
-0.2%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
53.4% (412)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (941)
45.4% (240)
-1.1%
On power play, Norris has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Norris
Home
51.9% (2,109)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
48.7% (2,103)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Goodrow
Norris
P1
50.5%
55.5%
P2
49.2%
51.5%
P3
51.3%
50.1%
OT
35.7%
39.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
50.3%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Josh Norris |