Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 81.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 64.0%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 58.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Goodrow
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Goodrow
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
60.8% (362)
-21.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
83.3% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
56.2% (146)
-6.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Goodrow is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Goodrow shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Kastelic
Home
36.0% (25)
60.3% (242)
Away
50.0% (12)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Goodrow
Kastelic
P1
46.2%
58.9%
P2
28.6%
57.3%
P3
50.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |