Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Duchene 51.8% (-11.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.3%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 54.3%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 52.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Goodrow
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
51.1% (366)
-11.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
61.5% (65)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Goodrow has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Duchene
Home
36.0% (25)
51.7% (201)
Away
50.0% (12)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Goodrow
Duchene
P1
46.2%
49.0%
P2
28.6%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
20.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%