Barclay Goodrow vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 59.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Goodrow
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
49.7% (1,038)
-10.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
63.7% (157)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Goodrow is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Goodrow shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Goodrow
MacKinnon
Home
36.0% (25)
53.1% (618)
Away
50.0% (12)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Goodrow
MacKinnon
P1
46.2%
49.3%
P2
28.6%
53.0%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
Final 5 min
20.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%