Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Dowd 48.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goodrow 73.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Goodrow
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Goodrow
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
51.0% (671)
-11.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
0.0% (2)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
41.5% (224)
+8.5%
On power play, Goodrow has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Goodrow is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Goodrow shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Dowd
Home
36.0% (25)
48.2% (471)
Away
50.0% (12)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Goodrow
Dowd
P1
46.2%
48.3%
P2
28.6%
46.8%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |