Scouting Report
Barclay Goodrow holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 50.3% vs Zacha 49.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.9%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 68.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 52.9%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Goodrow
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Goodrow
Zacha
Last 10: Goodrow 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Goodrow
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
7
Goodrow
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Goodrow
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (3,091)
48.9% (5,156)
+3.4%
Power Play
46.7% (180)
55.7% (813)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (941)
42.2% (557)
+2.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Goodrow is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,655).
Goodrow shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Zacha
Home
51.9% (2,109)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.7% (2,103)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Goodrow
Zacha
P1
50.5%
49.9%
P2
49.2%
49.2%
P3
51.3%
48.2%
OT
35.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
50.3%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Barclay Goodrow |