Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Goodrow
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
55.7% (856)
-16.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.5% (233)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (144)
+0.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Goodrow
O'Reilly
Home
36.0% (25)
55.5% (616)
Away
50.0% (12)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Goodrow
O'Reilly
P1
46.2%
58.1%
P2
28.6%
54.9%
P3
50.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
20.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%