Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 47.4% vs Hertl 57.5% (-17.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.1%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Goodrow
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
58.7% (858)
-19.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.8% (285)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Goodrow is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Goodrow shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Hertl
Home
36.0% (25)
60.1% (599)
Away
50.0% (12)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Goodrow
Hertl
P1
46.2%
52.4%
P2
28.6%
63.9%
P3
50.0%
58.5%
Final 5 min
20.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
50.0%▲
39.0%
40.5%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%