Barclay Goodrow vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Goodrow wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goodrow 44.9% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.8%
Defensive zone
Goodrow 57.5%
Neutral zone
Goodrow 57.3%
Result
Barclay Goodrow favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Goodrow
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Goodrow
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goodrow
1
0
Goodrow
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Goodrow
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goodrow
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (146)
58.6% (597)
-8.6%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
57.9% (57)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (79)
51.9% (52)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Goodrow is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Goodrow shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Goodrow
Karlsson
Home
40.0% (130)
59.6% (344)
Away
45.9% (122)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Goodrow
Karlsson
P1
48.8%
53.1%
P2
35.0%
62.1%
P3
44.8%
60.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goodrow
46.0%▲
39.0%
42.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Barclay Goodrow |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |