Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Groulx 44.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 64.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 65.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 50.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hayton
Groulx
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayton
Groulx
Last 7: Hayton 3-4 Groulx
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Groulx
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
3
Hayton
Groulx
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Groulx
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
44.8% (393)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
44.4% (9)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
35.1% (94)
+10.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Groulx shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Hayton
Groulx
Home
52.8% (2,269)
50.0% (244)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
36.1% (252)
By Period
Hayton
Groulx
P1
52.0%
45.1%
P2
51.4%
43.9%
P3
49.9%
40.4%
OT
58.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |