Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Jenner 51.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.7%
Defensive zone
Hayton 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Hayton
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Jenner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
51.3% (265)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
54.2% (24)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.0% (20)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Hayton
Jenner
Home
56.8% (433)
52.7% (165)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.0% (144)
By Period
Hayton
Jenner
P1
52.8%
49.0%
P2
50.3%
45.0%
P3
55.4%
59.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |