Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schenn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Schenn 53.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hayton
Schenn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayton
Schenn
Last 5: Hayton 3-2 Schenn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Schenn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Schenn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Schenn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Schenn
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
51.5% (656)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
63.6% (107)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
66.7% (24)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schenn shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Hayton
Schenn
Home
56.8% (433)
53.9% (412)
Away
47.4% (344)
53.3% (375)
By Period
Hayton
Schenn
P1
52.8%
49.6%
P2
50.3%
52.0%
P3
55.4%
58.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |