Barrett Hayton vs Chandler Stephenson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.2%). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 52.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Hayton
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayton
Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
52.0% (867)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.1% (248)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
39.5% (185)
-2.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stephenson
Home
56.8% (433)
53.1% (672)
Away
47.4% (344)
51.1% (628)
By Period
Hayton
Stephenson
P1
52.8%
54.2%
P2
50.3%
50.7%
P3
55.4%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |