Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Bedard 46.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 50.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 50.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayton
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayton
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Hayton
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
44.2% (505)
+8.2%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
66.7% (36)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
53.8% (13)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bedard
Home
56.8% (433)
50.7% (223)
Away
47.4% (344)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Hayton
Bedard
P1
52.8%
40.2%
P2
50.3%
49.2%
P3
55.4%
47.2%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |