Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Dewar 45.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 82.8%
Defensive zone
Hayton 55.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 71.4%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Hayton
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Hayton
Dewar
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
4
Hayton
Dewar
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Dewar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Dewar
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
45.4% (1,037)
+5.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
60.9% (23)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
41.7% (199)
+3.5%
On even strength, Hayton has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dewar
Home
52.8% (2,269)
43.8% (603)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
46.3% (656)
By Period
Hayton
Dewar
P1
52.0%
43.7%
P2
51.4%
46.7%
P3
49.9%
45.0%
OT
58.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |