Barrett Hayton vs Connor McMichael
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs McMichael 43.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hayton 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayton
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Hayton
McMichael
Last 8: Hayton 4-4 McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
McMichael
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
2
Hayton
McMichael
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
McMichael
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
43.3% (1,583)
+7.5%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
46.0% (139)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
37.5% (176)
+7.7%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
Home / Away
Hayton
McMichael
Home
52.8% (2,269)
42.6% (976)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
43.3% (922)
By Period
Hayton
McMichael
P1
52.0%
43.3%
P2
51.4%
43.1%
P3
49.9%
42.1%
OT
58.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |