Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.7%). Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Helm 50.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.7%
Defensive zone
Helm 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 57.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Hayton
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Helm
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Helm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Helm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Helm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
51.1% (2,790)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
54.7% (148)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
48.0% (719)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Helm is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,435).
Home / Away
Hayton
Helm
Home
52.8% (2,269)
51.8% (1,800)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
49.7% (1,877)
By Period
Hayton
Helm
P1
52.0%
49.5%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
49.9%
49.7%
OT
58.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |