Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 72.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 74.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 75.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Hayton
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hayton
Lindholm
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
4
Hayton
Lindholm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
3
Hayton
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
54.8% (766)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.3% (175)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
52.2% (92)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Hayton
Lindholm
Home
56.8% (433)
56.6% (578)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Hayton
Lindholm
P1
52.8%
55.2%
P2
50.3%
56.3%
P3
55.4%
56.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |