Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Drury 58.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 71.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 92.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 89.1%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Hayton
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayton
Drury
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
5
0
Hayton
Drury
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Hayton
Drury
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Drury
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
61.3% (690)
-8.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
40.0% (10)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.9% (165)
-14.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Hayton
Drury
Home
56.8% (433)
59.0% (417)
Away
47.4% (344)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Hayton
Drury
P1
52.8%
58.9%
P2
50.3%
58.3%
P3
55.4%
59.9%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |