Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Drury 57.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 62.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 70.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Hayton
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Hayton
Drury
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
2
Hayton
Drury
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Hayton
Drury
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Drury
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
58.1% (1,998)
-7.3%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
58.5% (118)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
53.0% (300)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,580).
Home / Away
Hayton
Drury
Home
52.8% (2,269)
58.2% (1,222)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
56.7% (1,194)
By Period
Hayton
Drury
P1
52.0%
56.0%
P2
51.4%
58.8%
P3
49.9%
57.3%
OT
58.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Jack Drury |