Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Megna 49.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.0%
Defensive zone
Megna 66.2%
Neutral zone
Megna 54.8%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayton
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hayton
Megna
Last 8: Hayton 2-6 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
5
Hayton
Megna
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Megna
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
49.1% (401)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
50.0% (4)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
47.6% (42)
-2.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Megna is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Hayton
Megna
Home
52.8% (2,269)
49.3% (227)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
48.6% (220)
By Period
Hayton
Megna
P1
52.0%
51.7%
P2
51.4%
49.3%
P3
49.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |