Barrett Hayton vs Joe Pavelski

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Hayton 51.0% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor Hayton leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Pavelski 67.7%
Defensive zone Hayton 55.8%
Neutral zone Pavelski 51.7%
Result Joe Pavelski favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hayton Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 6 (13 meetings)
7
6
Hayton Pavelski
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Pavelski

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Hayton Pavelski
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Hayton
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
52.3% (560)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
57.5% (113)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
62.5% (16)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +17.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Hayton
Pavelski
Home
54.6% (639)
54.2% (360)
Away
47.2% (591)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Hayton
Pavelski
P1
50.9%
54.5%
P2
52.7%
56.7%
P3
49.9%
50.8%
OT
41.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%
62.0%
51.1%
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
53.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 31, 2023 3 08:09 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Mar 1, 2023 3 18:34 Offensive Barrett Hayton
Mar 1, 2023 3 05:01 Neutral Barrett Hayton
Mar 1, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Mar 1, 2023 2 05:04 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Mar 1, 2023 1 18:43 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Mar 1, 2023 1 03:39 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Mar 1, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Barrett Hayton
Jan 21, 2023 2 12:26 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Jan 21, 2023 1 14:51 Defensive Barrett Hayton
Nov 3, 2022 3 01:41 Neutral Joe Pavelski
Nov 3, 2022 2 14:33 Defensive Barrett Hayton
Nov 3, 2022 1 09:20 Defensive Barrett Hayton