Barrett Hayton vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Ek 49.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 54.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.1%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hayton
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hayton
Ek
Last 5: Hayton 4-1 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Ek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
48.1% (858)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
53.3% (272)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.9% (188)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Hayton
Ek
Home
56.8% (433)
49.9% (693)
Away
47.4% (344)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Hayton
Ek
P1
52.8%
47.4%
P2
50.3%
53.1%
P3
55.4%
46.3%
OT
25.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |