Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Staal 54.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 65.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Hayton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayton
Staal
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
56.2% (989)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
66.0% (159)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
42.7% (253)
-5.9%
On power play, Staal has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Hayton
Staal
Home
56.8% (433)
55.4% (699)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Hayton
Staal
P1
52.8%
55.7%
P2
50.3%
54.7%
P3
55.4%
53.4%
OT
25.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |