Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Hayton
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Hayton
Staal
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
2
Hayton
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
8
Hayton
Staal
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
13
8
Hayton
Staal
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
55.9% (14,654)
-5.1%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
62.7% (1,762)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
47.9% (2,907)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Hayton
Staal
Home
52.8% (2,269)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Hayton
Staal
P1
52.0%
55.2%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
49.9%
54.8%
OT
58.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |