Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Norris 49.9% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Norris 52.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hayton 52.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Hayton
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
50.5% (388)
+1.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
47.6% (84)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
42.9% (7)
-6.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Hayton
Norris
Home
56.8% (433)
48.1% (233)
Away
47.4% (344)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Hayton
Norris
P1
52.8%
53.1%
P2
50.3%
49.2%
P3
55.4%
48.4%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%