Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Kolesar 48.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 61.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 79.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 67.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Hayton
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kolesar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
40.0% (25)
+12.4%
On even strength, Hayton has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Kolesar is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kolesar
Home
56.8% (433)
33.3% (15)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Hayton
Kolesar
P1
52.8%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
28.6%
P3
55.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |