Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Hayes 47.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hayton
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Hayton
Hayes
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
6
Hayton
Hayes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
3
Hayton
Hayes
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
47.5% (6,708)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
51.7% (702)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
45.3% (697)
-0.1%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hayes
Home
52.8% (2,269)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Hayton
Hayes
P1
52.0%
47.5%
P2
51.4%
47.6%
P3
49.9%
47.9%
OT
58.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |