Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.0% vs Dach 41.9% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 75.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 92.5%
Neutral zone
Hayton 94.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Hayton
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Dach
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Dach
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (937)
38.5% (213)
+12.5%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
33.3% (9)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (129)
40.0% (5)
+5.0%
On power play, Hayton has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Hayton is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (485).
Hayton shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dach
Home
54.6% (639)
38.8% (147)
Away
47.2% (591)
37.5% (80)
By Period
Hayton
Dach
P1
50.9%
36.3%
P2
52.7%
40.0%
P3
49.9%
40.0%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
27.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
58.0%▼
62.0%
51.1%
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |