Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 85.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 59.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Hayton
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayton
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
60.8% (362)
-8.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
83.3% (6)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
56.2% (146)
-19.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Hayton
Kastelic
Home
56.8% (433)
60.3% (242)
Away
47.4% (344)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Hayton
Kastelic
P1
52.8%
58.9%
P2
50.3%
57.3%
P3
55.4%
64.0%
OT
25.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |