Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 83.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 76.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Hayton
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayton
Scheifele
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
2
Hayton
Scheifele
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
46.5% (919)
+5.9%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
48.7% (187)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.0% (54)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Hayton
Scheifele
Home
56.8% (433)
46.6% (605)
Away
47.4% (344)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Hayton
Scheifele
P1
52.8%
52.3%
P2
50.3%
45.3%
P3
55.4%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |