Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Beniers 48.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 64.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 63.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 64.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Hayton
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hayton
Beniers
Last 9: Hayton 2-7 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Hayton
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Hayton
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
48.3% (862)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
58.3% (36)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
50.0% (32)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Hayton
Beniers
Home
56.8% (433)
52.4% (460)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Hayton
Beniers
P1
52.8%
47.5%
P2
50.3%
50.6%
P3
55.4%
47.6%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |