Barrett Hayton vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Bourque 46.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 83.9%
Defensive zone
Hayton 58.9%
Neutral zone
Hayton 77.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Hayton
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Hayton
Bourque
Last 10: Hayton 8-2 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Bourque
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hayton
Bourque
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Bourque
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
46.6% (513)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
26.1% (23)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
42.9% (28)
+2.3%
On power play, Hayton has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bourque
Home
52.8% (2,269)
47.1% (263)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
44.2% (301)
By Period
Hayton
Bourque
P1
52.0%
42.7%
P2
51.4%
42.8%
P3
49.9%
50.2%
OT
58.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |