Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 58.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 53.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hayton
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Hayton
Bonino
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
0
Hayton
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
54.1% (972)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Hayton
Bonino
Home
52.8% (2,269)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Hayton
Bonino
P1
52.0%
50.6%
P2
51.4%
48.5%
P3
49.9%
51.1%
OT
58.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |