Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hayton 58.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Hayton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayton
Suzuki
Last 7: Hayton 1-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Hayton
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Hayton
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
51.3% (945)
+1.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
50.7% (282)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
40.3% (67)
-3.5%
On power play, Hayton has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Hayton
Suzuki
Home
56.8% (433)
51.0% (637)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Hayton
Suzuki
P1
52.8%
53.1%
P2
50.3%
47.4%
P3
55.4%
51.3%
OT
25.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |