Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 58.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 51.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Hayton
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Hayton
Suzuki
Last 10: Hayton 2-8 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
11
Hayton
Suzuki
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
8
2
Hayton
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
1
Hayton
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
49.4% (6,368)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
50.8% (1,355)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
44.0% (466)
+1.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Hayton
Suzuki
Home
52.8% (2,269)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Hayton
Suzuki
P1
52.0%
48.9%
P2
51.4%
49.1%
P3
49.9%
50.3%
OT
58.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |